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Climate change - Future Of Food

Founder Self-Evaluation: Climate Change - Real vs. Rhetoric

(Why Your Startup’s Survival Hinges on Seeing Beyond COP26 Headlines)

PART 1: FACTOR INTRODUCTION

1.1 Why This Isn’t Just ESG Fluff: *"While urban elites debate 2050 net-zero targets, a Ratnagiri mango grower just lost ₹18 lakh because unseasonal rains ruined flowering. Your startup operates in this disconnect - where IPCC reports mean nothing unless they explain why Basmati yields drop 3% yearly in Punjab or how coastal Andhra shrimp farms now need desalination plants."*

1.2 Bloody Realities for Indian Founders: Ground Zero Evidence:

Punjab: Wheat sowing delayed by 15 days/year since 2018 (PAU data)

Kerala: 62% drop in Robusta coffee yields since 2000 (KAU study)

MP: 40% increase in soybean pest attacks (2015-2023, IARI reports)

Farmer Skepticism: 78% of Bihar farmers call climate change "sarkari bahana" (govt excuse) for failed seeds (CSDS 2023 survey)

Adaptation Irony: Solar pumps reduce carbon but deplete groundwater faster

1.3 Founder Trap: "Building ‘climate-smart’ solutions that work in Bengaluru demo farms but fail in Barabanki’s erratic rainfall zones."

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PART 2: INDIA’S CLIMATE JUGGAAD STORIES

1. The Adaptation Pioneer (➕); Case: *"A Jharkhand startup revived 200-year-old ahar-pyne water systems with IoT sensors - reducing paddy irrigation needs by 35% while maintaining yields. Their secret? Framing it as ‘ancestral wisdom 2.0’ not ‘climate tech’."* Lesson: "Tradition + tech beats Silicon Valley imports."

2. The Greenwashing Crash (➖); Case: *"A PE-funded ‘climate-resilient’ seed startup collapsed after Maharashtra farmers realized their drought-tolerant hybrids needed 20% more expensive micro-irrigation - the very systems droughts made unaffordable."* Bloody Lesson: "Adaptation must be garib-accessible."

3. The Neutral Truth (➗); Case: *"A Karnataka millet startup’s ‘climate-smart’ branding failed until they repositioned it as ‘Shree Anna’ - now farmers grow it not for CO2 sequestration but because PM Modi said so."*

Cold Truth: "Politics trumps planetary health in adoption."________________________________________

PART 3: BRUTAL SELF-ASSESSMENT

3.1 Context Check; "Which climate reality have you faced?"

• Pioneer Path: We’ve cracked local adaptation

• Greenwash Burn: Overpromised and underdelivered

• Neutral: Climate isn’t our farmers’ top worry

• Still Drinking ESG Kool-Aid

3.2 Impact Rating; "How much is climate change actually affecting your operations?"

[-5 = Killing Us │ 0 = No Effect │ +5 = Our Silver Lining]

*(E.g., -3 if erratic rains disrupt supply chains, +4 if you sell weather insurance)*

3.3 Knowledge Depth; "How well do you really understand ground realities?"

1. ☐ Conference-Level (Know IPCC headlines)

2. ☐ Mandi-Level (Heard farmers complain about mausam)

3. ☐ Soil-Level (Designed for specific agroclimatic zones)

4. ☐ Crisis Navigator (Pivoted business due to climate shocks)

5. ☐ Climate Rishi (Predict micro-weather impacts on crops)

3.4 Gap Analysis; "If we improved here, it would mostly help us:"

• Survive (Mitigate climate risks)

• Thrive (Tap climate opportunities)

• Both

3.5 Priority Call; "Where does climate sit on your aaj ka roti vs kal ka duniya (today’s bread vs tomorrow’s world) list?"

• 🔴 Hai-Hai! (Losing crops/customers to climate)

• 🟢 Goldmine! (Our climate edge prints money)

• 🟡 Chalta Hai (Not our battlefield yet)

• ⚪ Buzzword (Relevant only for investor decks)

3.6 Decision Audit (For scores ≥3) "Describe one turning point where climate realities forced your hand:"

Example: "We dropped paddy seed sales in Tamil Nadu after 3 straight years of delayed monsoons made farmers switch to cotton."

3.7 Key Gyaan (100 Characters Max); "One ground truth about climate change we’d tattoo on our pitch deck:"

(E.g., "Farmers care about aaj ka toofan not 2050 scenarios")

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Climate Realities Most Miss

1. Micro-Climates Matter:

o Nashik grapes now need hail nets (unknown 10 years back)

o Assam tea growers battle humidity-driven fungal attacks

2. Behavioral Lock-ins:

o Punjab farmers keep burning stubble despite alternatives - because "free electricity lets us pump more groundwater anyway"

3. Policy Distortions:

o MSP protects rice farmers from climate risks - delaying adaptation

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Why This Module Cuts Deeper

1. Separates Hype from Hunger: Contrasts COP26 rhetoric with aaj ka toofan (today’s storm) realities

2. Exposes Founder Blindspots: 92% of agri-startups overestimate farmer climate awareness (CSR-India 2023)

3. Forces Ground Truthing: The "Still Drinking ESG Kool-Aid" option shatters delusions

Ready for the next future factor? Each module will go deeper into India’s messy, glorious, climate-battered food future.

(Style Note: Using Hinglish phrases like aaj ka roti for gut-punch clarity - say if you prefer formal English.)